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U.S. factory gate prices slip in July

12 Août 2017

However, further economic data releases in the next months will give a clearer picture on inflation before Fed policymakers gather to decide on the future rate path.

Core US inflation in July is expected to rise to 1.8% according to a poll of economists, after showing a 1.7% rise in the two previous months. The index for dairy and related products also turned up in July, rising 0.3 percent after a 0.5-percent decrease in June.

By way of backdrop, note that USA inflation has eased back in recent months after lifting tantalising close to the Fed's 2% inflation target earlier this year. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg earlier this month saw the Fed lifting rates by a quarter percentage point at their December 12-13 meeting. The cost of food consumed at home increased 0.2 percent after dipping 0.1 percent in June.

Evans told reporters at a breakfast session at the Chicago regional bank that he agreed with Fed Chair Janet Yellen that the decline stems from a number of temporary factors, including a price war for mobile phone plans. Food prices were unchanged in June.

"Instead, US inflation is like the most timid of creatures, and when it does rear its head, like it did earlier this year, it soon shuffles back into its den", said Michael Baxter, economics commentator at The Share Centre. Evans also aims for the current interest rates to be maintained.

The uptick in core prices reflected higher prices for shelter, medical care, recreation, apparel, motor vehicle insurance, and airline fares. That might portend some pickup down the road, as Fed officials are expecting. It was the first time in six months the annual rate of change was less than 2%.

The Fed's next meeting is September 19-20, with the last two meetings of the year on October 31-Nov. The US Federal Reserve Bank have been following an aggressive strategy to raise interest rates on multiple occasions in the a year ago and there could be more.

The Fed is tasked with achieving maximum sustainable employment and stable prices. The unemployment rate is 4.3 per cent.

The Fed targets 2 percent inflation but does not rely on the Labor Department numbers. The range of estimates on headline are from 1.7% to 2.0%.

Concerns over North Korea notwithstanding, the other major stand-off in global markets at present is between fixed-income traders and the Federal Reserve.

Energy prices helped weigh down the index, with natural gas falling 2.7 per cent and gasoline declining by 1.4 per cent. Core CPI was predicted to advance by 0.2% as well, after 0.1% in June. Both gauges have followed the same pattern. The overall and core CPI both rose 0.1 percent in July. Comps were down 1.3% from an already low Q2 2016, ands as a result shares have tumbled almost 23% in early trading, and now look to open at an all-time (45-year) low.

U.S. factory gate prices slip in July