The categories are tied to the probability of a severe weather event within 25 miles of your location.
- A warm Friday morning will bloom into one of the warmest days of the year so far before a round of storms will blow through over the weekend and into early next week.
Forecasters in Shreveport said "potentially strong" tornadoes will be possible in southwest Arkansas.
"A Flash Flood Watch has already been issued for the entire area from 1 am Saturday morning to 1 am Sunday morning as we are expecting 2-4" + across the area. A brief period of light snow is possible early Sunday morning, mainly north of I-70, changing back to rain before ending by early afternoon.
Sunday: Breezy and cold, with a high at 45.
Afternoon temperatures on Friday will be in the 30s for Denver, about 40 degrees colder than on Thursday.
Saturday looks to remain mostly cloudy but there is a chance a few isolated storms could develop late in the day. Cooler air moves in with highs only in the 60s.
Rain will start during the morning hours for Northwest Kansas and gradually sag south as we approach mid day. Warmer temperatures in the 50s through northern Wyoming could even initiate an afternoon thunderstorm. Don't put that winter coat away just yet!
The NWS Storm Prediction Center defines a "moderate risk" this way: Severe thunderstorms are expected to affect between 5 and 10 percent of the area. Winds could gusts as high as 45 miles per hour.
The bad news is the low pressure system that brought Thursdays rain and is now centered over Wisconsin will be moving on and bringing more rain. Snow totals in these areas tonight through tomorrow will be in the 3 to 6 inch range.
The main line of storms will still be to the west in Alabama. Highs winds, large hail, heavy rain and a few tornadoes are possible. Highs this afternoon will climb into the low 80s under a sun-filled sky.
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