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Europe moves to safeguard interests in Iran after US pullout

12 Mai 2018

Critics of the deal object to a sunset provision that would allow Iran to resume enriching uranium at high levels in 15 years, unless an extension or longer-term deal is negotiated.

If the latter argument prevails, President Trump's decision may, in fact, have finally provided OPEC and Russian Federation, who in 2016 had expected their effort to take just six months, with an exit strategy. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were down 1 cent at $71.13.

President Donald Trump's decision to withdraw from the 2015 nuclear deal risks exposing European countries that have since invested in Iran to renewed US sanctions after "wind-down" periods of three to six months expire.

Prime Minister Theresa May and US President Donald Trump have discussed the Iran nuclear deal and North Korea in a phone conversation.

"It's not that they're being leaned on to provide justifications", Hayden said of US intelligence analysts.

Putting these consequences together - along with the Paris pact on climate, the Trans-Pacific Partnership and the North American Free Trade Agreement - the Trump administration is emerging as the biggest threat to nuclear peace and world order as it prioritizes "might is right" as the organizing principle of USA foreign policy. The bank also lifted its average Brent forecast to $70 for this year and $75 in 2019.

When the global sanctions were last in force on Iran from 2012 to 2015, it removed about 1 million barrels a day from the market. This would most likely be a time consuming option, in which Iran after years of crippling sanctions will finally have to give in and accept even tougher conditions than those imposed by the JCPOA.

European allies have said they remain committed to maintaining the nuclear deal, with German Chancellor Merkel reiterating her support of the accord Thursday.

"The days of joint global isolation of Iran are over", said Esfandiary, even though she cautioned that "there is less willingness to anger the USA in Europe than there is in China".

By all accounts, Iran has kept its end of the bargain but withdrawing from the deal had been an election promise of Trump, and he set foot on this path in mid-October by refusing to certify the deal - a periodic 90-day requirement. The other possibility is that OPEC members simply start to cheat, even if the deal remains unchanged.

When the sanctions - secondary sanctions applicable to foreign companies and entities - are fully in place, the United States will expect India to go off Iranian oil at the threat of punitive actions that remain undefined, but could include being shut out of the USA banking system.

Saudi Arabia will seek to develop its own nuclear weapons if Iran does, Foreign Minister Adel al-Jubeir told CNN on Wednesday, amid spiraling tension between the regional rivals.

Bruno Le Maire said Europe should not act as "vassals" to the USA or accept that it is the "world's economic policeman".

As President Trump announced to the world that he would finally put a stake through the heart of the Iran deal - the signal foreign policy "achievement" of the Obama administration - Obama's former staffers lamented, rending their sackcloth and smearing their ashes.

Iran is India's third-largest oil supplier behind Iraq and Saudi Arabia.

Since the sanctions were lifted in 2016, major European companies, partly wary of the remaining USA sanctions on Iran, have been reluctant to do business with Tehran, which needs to attract over $100 billion in foreign investment to boost its crude output. The agency has raised its forecasts every month since last August.

"Russia can now go ahead at full speed", he added.

This story has not been edited by Firstpost staff and is generated by auto-feed.

Europe moves to safeguard interests in Iran after US pullout