The NBA's current lottery system aims to give the worst team the best chance at turning around their misfortune, but clearly the process is flawed. It is only a 2.9 percent chance that the pick lands at either No. 2 or No. 3, as the pick can not fall at No. 4 or No. 5. We might not see another blockbuster like last year's swap between the Philadelphia 76ers and Boston Celtics involving the No. 1 overall pick, but don't be surprised if some All-Star-caliber player winds up finding a new home.
Here's the vital 2018 NBA Draft Lottery information you need to watch online or stream from a phone or tablet. But to make this more fun, let us analyze three potential prospects. To that point, you may recoil at the fact he is likely to be drafted by the Phoenix Suns, but even they should not be enough of a basket case to screw this up. Both slots garner more than a 25 percent chance.
What are the odds to land the first-overall pick? Perhaps no team, Phoenix included, stands to win - or lose - more than the Grizzlies on Tuesday.
There is a 0.7-percent chance it will be the number-one overall selection and a 2.5-percent chance of landing in the top-three.
Here's a quick look at an updated mock draft just in time for the combine. The best odds are with the Magic securing either the No. 5 or No. 6 pick. He lasted four nothing seasons with the Mavs before the Raptors selected him in the expansion draft. In 2015 they won several meaningless games in the final weeks that allowed the Timberwolves to get the top lottery odds and draft Karl Anthony-Towns. In 2008, the Knicks moved down one spot on lottery night and wound up with Danilo Gallinari two picks after Russell Westbrook was drafted, and one pick after Kevin Love.
"After watching Jayson Tatum carve up Marco Belinelli and a host of other Sixers in the playoffs, it's clear Philly could use more defense-minded wings and few prospects are more ready to play a role at small forward than Mikal Bridges", ESPN's Mike Schmitz writes.
In the mix for the No. 1 selection are Arizona's Deandre Ayton, a 7-foot center from Arizona, Real Madrid guard Luka Doncic and Duke forward Marvin Bagley. He is not a bad shooter, I think he can stretch out to the 3-point line. Additionally, it makes sense to trade Gasol for long term assets anyway, and then they can really accelerate the rebuild with that trade return and their own lottery pick.
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