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OPEC and allies reach agreement to share oil production increase

24 Juin 2018

However, the market's reaction to the decision has reflected the oil cartel's declining influence on global energy prices due to rising USA output and crude exports. He said OPEC could meet again in September to adjust the deal. Crude oil price in India surged from $50.57 bbl in May past year to $75.31 bbl this May.

Despite reports of the new agreement, Iran's OPEC governor, Hossein Kazempour Ardebili told Reuters that there was no agreement to reallocation on Saturday.

OPEC didn't agree to increase production as such. Russia, a non-member, is the second largest oil producer after Saudi.

Even after the group's decision had been announced, Trump was still tweeting hopefully about OPEC increasing production.

Iran's Zanganeh has accused Trump of trying to politicise OPEC and said it was USA sanctions on Iran and Venezuela that had helped push up prices.

Dr. Mohamed Ramady is an energy economist and geo political expert on the GCC and former Professor at King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals, Dhahran, Saudi Arabia and co-author of "OPEC in a Post Shale world - where to next?' His latest book is on 'Saudi Aramco 2030: Post IPO challenges".

"The real increase of production would be a figure exactly close to 1 million", Novak said in an interview with Bloomberg television. That has since then helped push up the price of oil by nearly 50 percent. "We believe they are considering it", Falih told a news conference. These have been the key drivers behind supply/demand dynamics since the global economic recovery commenced a decade ago. Output in May 2018 was actually down by 1.9 million, somehow 62 percent or 724,000 bpd more than what was agreed upon in 2016. Our outlook on crude oil remains neutral. Iran meanwhile fears that it will lose exports in excess of 400,000 bpd once United States sanctions kick in later this year.

I think the fact that collectively this group have reached this conclusion is a testimony that OPEC is caring about the market stability.
The concerns mainly revolve around the fact that it's a backward-looking indicator (two-month delay for data update) with transparency issues regarding the level of accuracy in assessing, measuring oil volume stored at sea and cargoes now in transit.

Health care companies also rose while technology companies and banks fell. "It's a mystery oil production increase because we don't really know the final numbers". President Trump's sanctions on Russian aluminum producer Rusal should serve as a warning to purchasers of Iranian oil. This should reduce recent supply restrictions in the face of growing global consumption levels. That's about 850,000 barrels a day of additional supply losses that have been largely unintentional, reflecting the collapse in Venezuela's oil industry and long-term declines in Mexican output.

Also supporting prices was a drop in Libyan supplies due to the collapse of an estimated 400,000-barrel storage tank. "This is in line with current view on what should be done for the market". "We are in for higher prices for longer", he said. The U.S. motorbike maker has in the past warned of a "significant impact" on its sales if the European Union decides to increase duties on motorcycles in retaliation.

Major oil producers outside Opec - including Mexico and Kazakhstan - met ministers from the group in Vienna on Saturday and endorsed a nominal output increase of 1 million barrels per day, said Carlos Perez, Ecuador's Minister of Hydrocarbons.

OPEC and allies reach agreement to share oil production increase