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Oil Prices Fall 2% on Rising Supply and Trade War

03 Novembre 2018

On Monday, U.S. oil prices inched up 0.07 percent despite vow of Saudi Arabia to enhance oil production.

Crude futures traded choppily on Wednesday, with Brent rising by $1 a barrel earlier in the session before retreating.

"If India and other consumers get waivers from the U.S., impact on oil prices will be lower than expected since the supply shortfall will not be as great as feared", said a senior official with an oil firm. He suggests all of the adverse move was driven by factors that the market was already aware of and that there are number of reasons to think prices can rise rapidly again over the next three months.

OPEC's output rose by 430,000 barrels to 33.33 million barrels a day in October, according to a Bloomberg survey of officials, analysts and ship-tracking data.

Oil prices are falling again, Friday, as concerns over short-term supply worries ease, despite the U.S. sanctions imposed on Iran. USA light crude CLc1 was down $1.30 at $65.74.

Yet over the past 20 trading sessions, oil and stocks both peaked in early October and both have lost almost 10 percent through the end of the month.

The United States is now in a race with Russian Federation as top producer. WTI gained 0.39 US dollar to settle at 66.82 dollars a barrel, while Brent further decreased 0.27 dollar to 76.17 dollars per barrel.

Oil prices gained after the U.S. Energy Information Administration said crude inventories rose 3.2 million barrels last week, less than expected. Stockpiles were expected to have risen about 4.1 million barrels in the week ended October 26, an extended Reuters poll showed on Tuesday.

USA light crude was 22 cents higher at $66.40 US a barrel mid-morning Wednesday, having hit a two-month low of $65.33 a barrel on Tuesday.

By around 1415 BST, the price of Brent Crude oil was 0.30% lower at $72.67 per barrel. But the spread would narrow to 4 dollars per barrel by December 2019. "Rosneft production of 1.2 million barrels of oil equivalent a day was 2.8 percent higher than a year ago", BP said in a press release. The nation's crude oil inventories have increased six consecutive weeks, EIA reported.

"There's this perception that there's enough oil in the market right now to get through the Iranian sanctions".

Oil is approaching a bear market with prices falling about 16 percent from a four-year high in October as a rout in global equity markets and U.S. -China trade dispute will dent economic growth and by signs of rising global supply despite upcoming sanctions against Iran.

Oil Prices Fall 2% on Rising Supply and Trade War