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GOP keeps Senate control for 2 more years, triumph for Trump

08 Novembre 2018

Nate Silver, election forecaster and founder of Five Thirty Eight, said: "No one should be surprised if [Democrats] only win 19 seats".

"Democrats had a narrow path through the suburbs in districts won by Hillary Clinton, and it appears they were able to flip those seats despite strong performances from our candidates who consistently outperformed the top of the ticket in almost every race", Daudt said in a statement. The polls now show Democrats with a razor-thin, but consistent advantage heading into Election Day.

"With the Democrats favourites to take control of the House and the Republicans the Senate, the next couple of years may be far more hard for Trump", Stephen Innes of OANDA said.

"Tomorrow will be a new day in America", House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi said at a watch party in Washington. But the margin of the majority will be important. But it was the number one issue for 49% of likely Democratic voters. Young voters promised to vote in record numbers as they waged mass protests in the wake of the February mass shooting at a Parkland, Florida, high school that left 17 students and staff dead. That is the question confronting several GOP incumbents, including New Jersey Rep. Leonard Lance. He faces a well-funded challenge from Democrat Tom Malinowski, a former State Department official, in a district Hillary Clinton carried by a single point. More women than ever were running, along with military veterans and minorities, many of them motivated by Trump's rise.

Fox News Channel projected on Tuesday that Democrats will win control of the U.S. House of Representatives. But all such measures would likely be dead on arrival in the Senate.

But with turnout a key unknown factor and pollsters still unsure about the effect of Mr Trump's maverick style on voters, both parties admit that they may be in for nasty surprises. But the odds of passing something significant, particularly in the run-up to the 2020 presidential race, are low.

Anxious Republicans privately expressed confidence in their narrow Senate majority but feared the House was slipping away.

Within minutes of their victory being confirmed, other Democrats were already threatening to go after Trump and to probe his business interests, including his tax returns.

Republicans - and President Trump - would counter this be pointing out that they held the Senate or even gained seats (which is rare).

By failing to pick up the two seats needed, it's unclear whether the Democratic caucus's leadership ranks will change at all.

It's very possible control of both the House and Senate will not be clear on election night.

Republicans now control 29 governorships to 21 for the Democrats. They could pass a bill to protect Mueller from being fired by the White House.

Republicans were banking on those dynamics being offset by a vibrant economy and by a president whose insult-laden approach to political discourse was as stirring for conservative voters as it was infuriating to liberals. The drug remains illegal at the federal level, which is why crossing the border has become more complicated for Canadians working or partaking in the newly legalized pot industry. If Democrats are winning in places like eastern Kentucky, then Republicans could be in for a long night on Tuesday.

One potential pitfall for Democrats will be to hold Trump to account without being seen as overreaching.

Trump said in an interview with Sinclair Broadcasting on Monday that he wished he had a softer tone during his first two years in office - even as he continued his relentless attacks on political rivals.

Democrats are drawing strength from women and college-educated voters, who swung decidedly against Trump since his election. But again, gridlock would reign. "The Democrats overplayed their hand". They could enjoy much stronger leverage in setting government budgets, but chances of a government shutdown would also grow.

A total of 155 Republican incumbents are defending House seats in districts Trump won by double digits in 2016.

Should he conclude that Trump committed a crime, a Democratic House could launch impeachment proceedings, but the process would likely come to a halt in a GOP-held Senate.

It's unlikely they would win enough new seats to give them a filibuster-proof, 60-seat majority.

The GOP effort to repeal Obamacare, which was pushed through using special budget rules, failed by just one vote. In the final days, he sought to motivate supporters with the battle over the confirmation of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh. Rep. Ryan Costello, a Republican from Pennsylvania who announced his retirement earlier this year, tweeted his displeasure: "To deal w harassment & filth spewed at GOP MOC's in tough seats every day for 2 yrs, bc of POTUS; to bite ur lip more times you'd care to; to disagree & separate from POTUS on principle & civility in ur campaign; to lose bc of POTUS & have him piss on u".

How it would happen: Speaking of small but substantial possibilities, that's what Republicans have when it comes to holding the House.

GOP keeps Senate control for 2 more years, triumph for Trump